Look at it like the proffesional glamber does. They look at process rather than outcome. They look at what cards they have, what cards have already been chosen, the personality of their opponents, how much each one of them bets, how much money everyone has and then make a decision about whether or not they'll stay in and if so, how much money to bet. If this decision was the best they could do based on the information they had at the time, then it was a good decision, regardless of the outcome. They don't go back and think I should have known that ace was going to be turned over Because they couldn't have known. All they can know, based on statistics, it the chance that that next card will be an ace. All they can know is that their opponent usually bets conservatively. But maybe he just got a date with a girl and he's feeling saucy today. And if the odds are in their favor, then they have to bet. If they let the fear of being wrong overpower their logic, they will make a bad decision.Logic is limited because the information we put into the logical machine is always limited or doubtful. And part of making a rational decision is realizing this, that we can almost never be absolutely sure that our decisions will yield the desired outcome, and preparing for the chance that things won't go the way we want them to.
September 29, 2012 at 08:16 PM
You make it look so easy to make!
David Wolfe Rawfoods |
August 09, 2009 at 02:52 PM
Yay...great job!!!! The only thing I noticed was when you were making everything, you didn't mention the oven temp and how long to put the food in for. Exception: the bread. When you speak Meags, you just pull me in and make everything so real, and down home...LOVE IT!!!!
November 27, 2008 at 09:04 PM
The cutting room floor!?! I'm kidding and i LOVE how the ingredients come up on the screen. Very stylish...!!
November 26, 2008 at 09:27 AM
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grubbin. food. vegan. style.